Navegando por Autor "Silva Junior, José Alexandre da"

Agora exibindo 1 - 3 de 3

Campaign finance in comparative perspective : a nested analysis approach
(2012) Figueiredo Filho, Dalson Britto; Melo, Natália Maria Leitão de; Rocha, Enivaldo Carvalho da; Silva Junior, José Alexandre da; Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
It analyzes campaign finance in a comparative perspective, giving special attention to Brazil and the Unites States. The focus regards the level of regulation on the sources of campaign contributions. Methodologically, the research design adopts a nested approach, combining descriptive and multivariate statistics with deep case studies and documental analysis. Additionally, we replicate data from the Institute for Democracy and Electoral Assistance (IDEA) to estimate a standardized measure of regulation. The results suggest that most countries show low levels of control over the sources of campaign contributions. However, both Brazil and the United States display high levels of regulation on campaign finance, despite their widely different institutional designs.
Gastos e votos nas eleições municipais 2012
(2013) Figueiredo Filho, Dalson Britto; Silva, Denisson; Rocha, Enivaldo Carvalho da; Silva Junior, José Alexandre da; Paranhos, Ranulfo; Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
Quem se beneficia mais do gasto eleitoral? Esse trabalho analisa os resultados eleitorais nas eleições municipais de 2012 em função dos gastos de campanha. Em termos substantivos, testou-se a hipótese de que quanto maior o investimento nas campanhas eleitorais, maior é a quantidade de votos obtidos. Metodologicamente, combinou-se estatística descritiva, comparação de médias, regressão linear de mínimos quadrados ordinários (MQO) para analisar os dados disponibilizados pelo Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE) referentes às disputas eleitorais ao cargo de prefeito em todas as cidades brasileiras. Os resultados sugerem que: em média, o incremento de 1% na receita eleva em 0,57% o número de votos; desagregando esse dado; (2) o candidato eleito beneficia menos (a cada 1% a mais ele recebe 0,51% de voto) do (3) que o candidato não-eleito (0,56%).
The presence of incumbents electoral competition and reelection in Brazil (1990-2014)
(2020) Silva Junior, José Alexandre da; Morais, Leonardo Rodrigues; Paranhos, Ranulfo; Lima, Albany Ferreira; Tribunal Superior Eleitoral
What are the effects of attempts at reelection on electoral competition? It has tested the assumption that attempts at reelection have a positive and significant effect on electoral competition. It measured electoral competition using two indicators: Imbalance index T (Taagepera) and generalized concentration index (Herfindahl-Hirscham (HH)). It analyzed data on the seven last Brazilian national elections (1990-2014). It employed descriptive (variable measures and times series) and inferential statistics (regression analysis with panel data). The main findings: 01. the percentage and the concentration of incumbents has a significant and negative effect on the concentration of votes; 02. the interaction between the percentage of incumbents in a given dispute and in a coalition has a significant and positive effect on the concentration of votes.