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URI permanente para esta coleçãohttps://bibliotecadigital.tse.jus.br/handle/bdtse/10292
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Resultados da Pesquisa
Artigo Rethinking state politics : the withering of state dominant machines in Brazil(2007) Borges, André; Tribunal Superior EleitoralResearch on Brazilian Federalism and state politics has focused mainly on the impact of federal arrangements on national systems, whereas comparative analyses of the working of state political institutions and patterns of political competition and decision-making have often beeb neglected. The article contributes to an emerging comparative literature on state politics by developing a typology that systematizes the variation in political competitiveness and the extent of state elites control over the electoral arena across Brazilian states. It relies on factor analysis to create an index of electoral dominance, comprised of a set indicators of party and electoral competitiveness at the state level, which measures state elites capacity to control the state electoral arena over time. Based on this composite index and on available case-study evidence, the article applies relies on the typological classification to assess the recent evolution of state-level poltitical competitiveness. The empirical analysis demonstrates that demonstrates that state politics is becoming more competitive and fragmented, including in those states that have been characterized as bastions of oligarchism and political bossism. In view of these findings, the article argues that the power of state poltitical machines rests on fragile foundations: in Brazils multiparty federalism, vertical competition between the federal and state governments in the provision of social policies works as a constraint on state bosses machine-building strategies. It is concluded that our previous views on state political dynamics are in serious need of re-evaluation.Artigo Relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election : an analysis of the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study) data(2007) Carreirão, Yan de Souza; Tribunal Superior EleitoralThe article investigates some of the most relevant factors for the voting decision in the 2002 presidential election by testing some of the main hypotheses about electoral behaviour in the country by means of logistic regression analyses based on data from the ESEB (Brazilian Electoral Study), a post-electoral survey conducted on a national sample of voters. In the models, taken as a whole, political opinions did not have much weight in the voting decision. Furthermore, they are unable to explain a very large share of voters positioning on a left-right scale or on a scale of voters party sentiments. All these political variables taken as a whole, in turn, explain only part of the evaluations that voters make of the governments performance. The analysis shows that Brazilian voters voting decision seems rather varied, since some variables were shown to be relevant to explain the vote for a candidate, but not for the others. The variables shown to be more frequent (for all four candidates analysed) and with more considerable weight were: voters religion, their party sentiments, their positioning on a left-right scale, the evaluations made of the then current government (in actual fact important only for the vote for Serra, the governments candidate) and the candidates attributes (especially reliability and preparedness/competence).Artigo Career choice and legislative reelection : evidence from Brazil and Colombia(2007) Botero, Felipe; Rennó, Lucio R. (Lucio Remuzat); Tribunal Superior EleitoralThis paper explores the differences and similarities between the electoral systems in Brazil and Colombia and how it affects Brazilian incumbent Federal Deputies and Colombian Diputados political career choices and electoral success. The main argument is that even though both electoral systems are, in general terms, quite distinct, they appear to produce very similar effects in career choices and reelection. The main cause of the effects found is that the institutional minutiae of the two electoral systems increase their similarities. Key words: Legislative Careers; reelection; electoral systems.Artigo Women and candidate quality in the elections for the Senate : Brazil and the United States in comparative perspective(2007) Bohn, Simone R.The Senate remains as an almost uncharted territory for women. And not only in re-democratized countries like Brazil, but also in advanced democracies such as the USA. To date, 33 American and 28 Brazilian women have served in their Senates. Why are these numbers so reduced? This article discusses the key obstacles that women face and, through OLS and probit analyses, examines the degree of competitiveness and rate of success of all candidacies. We show that, even though womens are thought to be weak contestants, they can be as competitive as men when they have a record of elected public positions. The reduced availability of the latter, however, indicates that they are still far from inscreasing their presence in the Senate.